Yes indeed, the jumper was the key! Nothing wrong with the card (at least, nothing defective)
Display is working now, after installing drivers I find that despite being advertised as a TNT2 Pro it shows as a TNT2 M64 according to nVidia settings panel (classic eBay!).
Also, when I launch Unreal it is pretty clearly not utilizing the GPU as it runs identically to software mode. Might be maybe version I have installed predates direct x support, we'll see...
EDIT: OK, after some driver weirdness, I settled on 30.82, anyone recommend anything else for Win98 Celeron 366? I see some indication that there is a sweet spot for driver version dependent on hardware.
Currently I am getting some weird corruption in the Start Menu...