Jo22 wrote on Today, 10:48:They maybe won't. Once they're there, AI/LLM development is many iterations further and has already outrun them. […]
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For individuals in those companies, whatever field, i feel empathy and worry about what is means for all people if the stages of beginner to average ability are now all catered for by AI. how do they get to advanced stages?
They maybe won't. Once they're there, AI/LLM development is many iterations further and has already outrun them.
And the development is exponential rather than linear. 😟
People mention numbers such as 5 years, maybe because they look back and count how long development took in the years before.
But a danger is that AI/LLM optimizes itself in ever smaller time frames,
like a C compiler that can build itself/optimize itself each time.
But there's a catch, as well. AI/LLM is still improving by learning from original, human data sets.
But what happens if the human information pool is exhaused?
indeed. first i'm not sure present AI is an exponential growth in capability, when new tech emerges it often spends a while growing slowly, then grows explosively, then slows down in terms of capability (usually only growing again when other tech starts contributing to it)
in other words i'm sure LLMs from 5 years ago are much less impressive than now, but i'm not expecting the same leap forward in 5 years - more in capacity ; i.e faster, more pictures, longer videos, longer context retention etc rather than fundamentally "smarter"
but we will see. You're right too that training data risks - running out, consuming other llm outputs, reduced curation by humans as scale builds are all there too. think of an extreme - every media is generated, from that point on there is nothing truly new - just remixes for the past forever!
your point about websites is true too, several already noting less and less human traffic - what happens when they close? it locks the LLM into a fixed time again, with no new things (although i guess news outlets, and things that have updates and audiences will survive, but all smaller and edge case sites might not)
Jo22 wrote on Today, 12:05:
I sat down at a desk 5 days a week to code and pay my bills, it wasn't for the love it it, and based on my experience - all big corps I admit - that describes the majority of devs. I wasn't paid to produce unique and groundbreaking code, I needed to get my changes checked in by Thursday or I'd miss the release.
Understandable. But that's a flaw or bad attribute of the modern business world.
People just take dull jobs to get by, rather than finding purpose or fulfillment in it. That's neither progress nor healthy.
hmm, i'm sure its true of many roles in life well before modern business, well before civilisation, were also dull jobs as such. Perhaps they had more meaning because they were directly linked to their tribe, their community and that is the difference not whether its business, state or whatever. what badmojo was saying about the nature of "normal work" was right, and in fact a cooperative society cannot wait for artistry or creativity all the time, there's things to be shipped soon.
further, artists and speculative creatives can only exist in a society that creates a surplus. the people who depend upon and benefit the most from having a majority doing ordinary jobs are the people who don't do ordinary jobs
for your more optimistic ideas, i'm not sure 🙁 AI is presently owned by a few, i cannot imagine a smooth transition to the optimistic ideas you have even if it were finally to get there
(edited some spellings a few times!)