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A.I. Bubble about to burst in 3...2...1...

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Reply 180 of 196, by Unknown_K

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We have thousands of data centers in the US already used for things like processing credit/debit cards, controlling cell phone traffic, military and government use, utility work etc. The power for those came from plants that provided for industry that ended up going to Asia. The old GM Lordstown plant close to me used 22+MW when running which is the top of what mid-sized data centers use.

Making more power for the grid takes billions of dollars and many years, some components are backed ordered for a decade or more. So, buying up Nvidia cards that will be obsolete in 10 years anyway just keeps smaller fish out of your way just like Google would hire new tech grads and give them busy work to keep them from starting up competition.

I have no doubt that AI will be used more and more down the road, but the profits will be far less than what is being dumped into the market at the moment. People are gambling with other people's money hoping to corner the market 20 years down the road. If you look at the dotcom era it took a decade or two for a few companies that were left to make a profit after burning through billions of dollars (Amazon). Lots of money is getting burned.

Collector of old computers, hardware, and software

Reply 181 of 196, by Trashbytes

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Unknown_K wrote on 2026-11-09, 21:19:

We have thousands of data centers in the US already used for things like processing credit/debit cards, controlling cell phone traffic, military and government use, utility work etc. The power for those came from plants that provided for industry that ended up going to Asia. The old GM Lordstown plant close to me used 22+MW when running which is the top of what mid-sized data centers use.

Making more power for the grid takes billions of dollars and many years, some components are backed ordered for a decade or more. So, buying up Nvidia cards that will be obsolete in 10 years anyway just keeps smaller fish out of your way just like Google would hire new tech grads and give them busy work to keep them from starting up competition.

I have no doubt that AI will be used more and more down the road, but the profits will be far less than what is being dumped into the market at the moment. People are gambling with other people's money hoping to corner the market 20 years down the road. If you look at the dotcom era it took a decade or two for a few companies that were left to make a profit after burning through billions of dollars (Amazon). Lots of money is getting burned.

AI is very useful for places like research, Science, medicine and other industries where its lack of profit isn't the deciding reason for it to exist, as its being used and marketed right now ..it has little future as the profit margins are just not there.

It will certainly have a place after the crash just like the internet and its associated hardware still had a place after the DotCom crash but it will be forced into a place that is sustainable for its survival.

AI is inevitable, there is nothing you can do to stop it, no Ironman snap to save you from the Basilisk.

Reply 182 of 196, by leileilol

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Another one.

The road to TDFX status continues...

FUCK "AI". It is a tool of fascism. We do not need it. We do not use it.

Reply 183 of 196, by rmay635703

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The Serpent Rider wrote on 2026-11-09, 20:52:

There is a bubble, in a sense that all major companies associated with LLMs are hoarding hardware which they realistically never will be able to use (no power grid to sustain it, no place to put datacenters, etc). And they hoard it to kick the ladder behind them.

And the parts will be functionally obsolete and too power hungry/ expensive to operate and be competitive if/when power becomes available.

Hopefully inexpensive methods of repurposing small chunks of derelict ai compute into something useful at the consumer level becomes possible, unlike those useless storage arrays floating around

Reply 184 of 196, by BitWrangler

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rmay635703 wrote on 2026-11-12, 04:25:

Hopefully inexpensive methods of repurposing small chunks of derelict ai compute into something useful at the consumer level becomes possible, unlike those useless storage arrays floating around

That's why they're practicing on Rage XLs 🤣

Unicorn herding operations are proceeding, but all the totes of hens teeth and barrels of rocking horse poop give them plenty of hiding spots.

Reply 185 of 196, by rmay635703

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BitWrangler wrote on 2026-11-12, 04:26:
rmay635703 wrote on 2026-11-12, 04:25:

Hopefully inexpensive methods of repurposing small chunks of derelict ai compute into something useful at the consumer level becomes possible, unlike those useless storage arrays floating around

That's why they're practicing on Rage XLs 🤣

Sadly that may be one of the few components that can be ripped from a rack unmolested.

Ram and storage usually would need a bespoke solution, the compute itself would probably be worthlessly proprietary

Reply 186 of 196, by Trashbytes

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rmay635703 wrote on 2026-11-12, 04:29:
BitWrangler wrote on 2026-11-12, 04:26:
rmay635703 wrote on 2026-11-12, 04:25:

Hopefully inexpensive methods of repurposing small chunks of derelict ai compute into something useful at the consumer level becomes possible, unlike those useless storage arrays floating around

That's why they're practicing on Rage XLs 🤣

Sadly that may be one of the few components that can be ripped from a rack unmolested.

Ram and storage usually would need a bespoke solution, the compute itself would probably be worthlessly proprietary

I'm sure there are a few Chinese fellas who are looking at all the soon to be obsolete compute and memory being hoarded with dollar signs in their eyes. Just look at what they have done with X99 server stuff, so I have little doubt that once this stuff hits the reseller market they will have a large inexpensive amount of it we can buy to run local AI with.

Local AI is at this point a certainty for a great many people since the huge corporate AI farms are far to expensive to ever be profitable to run and maintain outside of a few edge cases.

The people who don't want AI can just ignore its existence at that point and the rest can just buy up the cheap second hand compute.

AI is inevitable, there is nothing you can do to stop it, no Ironman snap to save you from the Basilisk.

Reply 187 of 196, by wierd_w

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Most storage arrays are just SAS though?
(The filerheads are proprietary trash that you dont really want, but the disk shelves are able to be driven by a normal home pc with a PCIe HBA popped in it.)

Enterprise disks have a weird disk sector size, but that's fixable with a few hours of linux-fu; the scsi subsystem on linux can tell the drives in the shelf to reformat themselves with standard 512 byte sectors.

(For those interested)

You can use the disks anywhere after that. You can even boot off the disk shelf, if you are so inclined.

I did exactly that (use HBA, reformat disks) when I started building my homelab (before the AI bubble).

The ram in datacenter stuff is what you wont find a use for.

That and the kneecapped 'AI only' video cards (that dont do video).

Reply 189 of 196, by UCyborg

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AI is so full of shit, it generates buggy code, it circles around the issue when it doesn't know the answer...

Arthur Schopenhauer wrote:

A man can be himself only so long as he is alone; and if he does not love solitude, he will not love freedom; for it is only when he is alone that he is really free.

Reply 190 of 196, by wierd_w

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Or is obstinate when it makes a glaring error...

(Provided for the humor, no other reason. AI can be useful when properly gatekept. That it can be *obstinate* like this, is WHY it needs to be gatekept.)

So, HOW MANY 'E's are there in 'Seventeen'?

(Deep link. Hope it works)

Reply 191 of 196, by ElectroSoldier

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UCyborg wrote on 2026-11-12, 22:09:

AI is so full of shit, it generates buggy code, it circles around the issue when it doesn't know the answer...

Sounds like most people in IT tech

Reply 193 of 196, by Yawnald

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We're damned if we do and damned if we don't.

Mr. Tualatin

Reply 194 of 196, by Ozzuneoj

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The Serpent Rider wrote on Yesterday, 20:10:

I read this and all I could think was... "Yeah... and people are now acting like this is new information?"

I'm sure other sites have reported on this as well, but GamersNexus has been talking about these circular investments for almost a year. People have known this was the reason for the scarcity since the beginning of 2026. Maybe main stream news didn't want to talk about it or report on it because so many were benefiting from ever increasing stock prices of all of these companies. Big surprise there.

Just a thought regarding the article itself... It's likely that the people who are benefiting the most from the bubble have seen it reaching its breaking point for a long time. The revelation of the scandals involving Jensen Huang may have been their best chance of avoiding scrutiny and minimizing their own losses (which are nothing compared to the piles of money they've already made). He obviously has made some very very bad choices and has willfully pushed multiple industries in this direction, but I'll be curious to see if any of the people who supported his choices (because they made a killing from it) will share any of the blame in the media.

It's sad to see, really. Whether you liked the guy or not, or whether you liked nvidia or not, he's been instrumental in the formation of the PC gaming industry for almost 30 years and things could be very different (better or worse... we don't know) if he hadn't run nvidia the way he did (aggressively). Watching all of this happen over the last 25 years and then hearing what he's done behind the back of his wife of 47 years... it just feels like a classic example of a life being torn apart by a pattern of greed.

This is what it looks like folks. When you make decisions in your life that will alter your path (pushing for promotions, aggressive business choices, allowing close relationships to form), remember that you are also altering the standards that you will base your future decisions on. One day you're being a bit cut-throat with a competitor and it goes extremely well for you and your company... 20 years later you're the news media's face of everything wrong with the world, the powerful people around you throw you under the bus and you've destroyed a lifelong relationship with someone you love. I doubt he even recognizes himself at this point.

Now for some blitting from the back buffer.

Reply 195 of 196, by The Serpent Rider

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Ozzuneoj wrote on Yesterday, 22:12:

I'm sure other sites have reported on this as well, but GamersNexus has been talking about these circular investments for almost a year. People have known this was the reason for the scarcity since the beginning of 2026. Maybe main stream news didn't want to talk about it or report on it because so many were benefiting from ever increasing stock prices of all of these companies. Big surprise there.

When GamersNexus was talking about this a year ago it just didn't make an impact, because mainstream media was playing 3 monkeys. Now everyone jumps ship it seems. It's an indicator.

I must be some kind of standard: the anonymous gangbanger of the 21st century.

Reply 196 of 196, by ElectroSoldier

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The Serpent Rider wrote on Yesterday, 20:10:

We already knew that, its not news.

It makes me wonder what people thought when they were told that the financing was circular.

The Serpent Rider wrote on Yesterday, 22:26:
Ozzuneoj wrote on Yesterday, 22:12:

I'm sure other sites have reported on this as well, but GamersNexus has been talking about these circular investments for almost a year. People have known this was the reason for the scarcity since the beginning of 2026. Maybe main stream news didn't want to talk about it or report on it because so many were benefiting from ever increasing stock prices of all of these companies. Big surprise there.

When GamersNexus was talking about this a year ago it just didn't make an impact, because mainstream media was playing 3 monkeys. Now everyone jumps ship it seems. It's an indicator.

GamersNexus didnt start talking about anything new either. It was already old news in the investment and venture capital markets for a while before they picked up the story and ran with it.

In the financial world everybody knew who the lynch pin was holding it all together and why "they" were doing it.
The problem was talked about as the mining problem ended, or started depending on who youre talking about, and the solution presented itself when OpenAI started and M$ bought a chunk.

Thats why I said what I said earlier.